And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–19 on winners spread MAE 8.3 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
LSU @ Tennessee +14.7 151.9 88% 68–88 ✓
Wisconsin @ Michigan -5.2 144.1 29% 68–72 ✗
Alabama @ Auburn +3.6 170.8 64% 81–99 ✓
Louisville @ Syracuse +11.1 151.3 85% 92–94 ✓
Pittsburgh @ NC State +2.2 140.7 54% 67–64 ✗
Army @ Lehigh +5.4 130.6 69% 68–57 ✗
Valparaiso @ Indiana State +18.7 153.0 90% 61–101 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Longwood +8.5 140.8 79% 69–64 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Presbyterian -3.6 146.9 32% 75–77 ✗
Holy Cross @ Lafayette +8.3 134.0 79% 59–75 ✓
Villanova @ Xavier +3.3 143.0 71% 53–56 ✓
Colgate @ Boston University -6.4 131.1 21% 74–64 ✓
Davidson @ Duquesne +5.2 134.5 73% 72–59 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ George Mason +5.1 135.4 72% 85–79 ✗
Massachusetts @ St. Bonaventure +2.8 142.6 65% 73–79 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ American University +8.7 135.5 80% 44–43 ✗
Bucknell @ Navy +1.5 128.7 55% 80–67 ✗
Wofford @ East Tennessee State +2.2 141.9 67% 50–57 ✓
Furman @ Mercer -1.8 145.1 42% 69–78 ✗
The Citadel @ Western Carolina +8.5 140.0 85% 64–71 ✓
Cleveland State @ Purdue Fort Wayne +3.4 150.2 60% 75–72 ✗
Marshall @ Troy +7.2 150.4 77% 66–82 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Louisiana Tech +9.7 144.9 83% 81–76 ✗
UTSA @ Wichita State +10.3 154.9 82% 64–84 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ UL Monroe +4.3 146.3 68% 75–79 ✓
North Texas @ Tulsa -5.1 135.2 24% 68–55 ✓
SMU @ Rice -7.9 143.5 25% 95–69 ✓
Missouri State @ Northern Iowa +2.0 138.0 68% 65–72 ✓
UIC @ Illinois State +1.1 129.9 56% 61–56 ✗
Bradley @ Evansville -8.5 142.7 24% 70–73 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Drake +8.1 137.9 82% 88–92 ✓
Murray State @ Belmont +0.4 142.9 56% 64–69 ✓
Portland @ Gonzaga +22.5 153.3 91% 64–96 ✓
Old Dominion @ Southern Miss +5.8 142.2 76% 73–78 ✓
Georgia State @ Louisiana +11.5 146.1 83% 78–69 ✗
Georgia Southern @ South Alabama +5.3 150.1 71% 65–78 ✓
James Madison @ Arkansas State -4.9 158.7 27% 77–73 ✓
App State @ Texas State -6.0 135.8 30% 56–63 ✗
Creighton @ Providence -1.6 144.6 50% 87–91 ✗
Notre Dame @ Duke +17.3 132.0 89% 53–71 ✓
UCLA @ Stanford +4.0 139.4 49% 82–74 ✗
Nebraska @ Northwestern +3.2 146.3 64% 68–80 ✓
Texas A&M @ Missouri -3.2 137.2 27% 79–60 ✓
Georgia @ Mississippi State +7.1 144.2 77% 62–75 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Eastern Kentucky +5.2 142.9 71% 82–90 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ San Diego -1.6 144.5 47% 77–79 ✗
USC @ California +0.3 149.0 54% 77–83 ✓
Chattanooga @ VMI -12.2 157.0 14% 88–84 ✓
UAlbany @ Binghamton +1.3 150.7 61% 57–69 ✓
Milwaukee @ Youngstown State +10.6 156.3 86% 85–97 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.