Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -600 SIU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +4 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -8.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (+39.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -8.1 (-4.1) | 137.9 (+42.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -9.6 (-5.6) | 139.1 (+40.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -8.0 (-4.0) | 141.4 (+38.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -8.2 (-4.2) | 139.6 (+40.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | DRKE 67 – 63 SIU |
| Feb 19, 2026 | SIU 66 – 61 DRKE |
| Jan 15, 2026 | DRKE 76 – 73 SIU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | DRKE 70 – 53 SIU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DRKE 75 – 65 SIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 11-9 |
| Home | 16-0 | 13-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#49) | 4.9 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#46) | 0.43 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#46) | 0.97 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#29) | 0.513 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 78.3% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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