Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | USD +145 LMU -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +2 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -1.1 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -1.6 (+3.6) | 144.5 (+11.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -0.6 (+1.4) | 145.8 (+10.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USD -0.5 (+1.5) | 146.5 (+9.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USD -0.1 (+1.9) | 146.1 (+9.9) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | USD 66 – 62 LMU |
| Feb 21, 2026 | LMU 77 – 65 USD |
| Feb 8, 2026 | LMU 83 – 63 USD |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LMU 100 – 74 USD |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LMU 78 – 62 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 12-6 | 8-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#240) | 0.4 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#175) | -0.33 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#177) | -0.38 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#189) | 0.469 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 12.8% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.