Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | WICH -450 UTSA +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +20 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -10.2 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -8.7 (+11.3) | 156.5 (-8.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | WICH -10.3 (+9.7) | 154.9 (-6.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | WICH -8.8 (+11.2) | 152.3 (-4.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -9.1 (+10.9) | 152.1 (-4.1) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2026 | WICH 84 – 67 UTSA |
| Feb 13, 2025 | WICH 69 – 64 UTSA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UTSA 88 – 75 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-9 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 81.6 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#156) | -6.3 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#190) | -1.18 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#179) | -1.53 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#188) | 0.442 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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