Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | UTSA +205 WICH -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTSA +13 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -3.7 (+16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -3.4 (+16.4) | 157.0 (+6.0) | 43% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | WICH -2.5 (+15.5) | 156.6 (+6.4) | 42% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | WICH -2.8 (+15.8) | 156.7 (+6.3) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -2.6 (+15.6) | 157.3 (+5.7) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2026 | WICH 84 – 67 UTSA |
| Feb 13, 2025 | WICH 69 – 64 UTSA |
| Feb 8, 2024 | WICH 84 – 64 UTSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTSA | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#275) | 1.4 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#284) | 0.50 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#299) | 0.54 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#264) | 0.518 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTSA | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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