Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | WICH -270 UTSA +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +5 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -6.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (-23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -4.8 (+0.2) | 150.6 (-17.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | WICH -5.9 (-0.9) | 149.2 (-16.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | WICH -4.8 (+0.2) | 146.4 (-13.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -5.1 (-0.1) | 148.7 (-15.7) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2026 | WICH 84 – 67 UTSA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UTSA 88 – 75 WICH |
| Feb 8, 2024 | WICH 84 – 64 UTSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 77.5 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#145) | -2.4 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#160) | -0.47 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#155) | -0.46 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#156) | 0.499 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 31.5% |
Game Analysis
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