Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–12 on winners spread MAE 10.1 34 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Clemson @ North Carolina +8.6 149.4 77% 80–76 ✗
Oklahoma State @ Houston +16.6 127.9 90% 63–79 ✓
Wake Forest @ Georgia Tech -5.9 150.5 32% 80–51 ✓
Florida State @ Boston College +2.5 148.5 64% 63–62 ✗
Indiana @ Ohio State +6.6 143.9 76% 76–73 ✗
Rhode Island @ George Washington +4.0 155.0 70% 88–65 ✗
VCU @ Fordham -3.0 137.4 39% 75–60 ✓
Canisius @ Niagara +2.2 145.2 68% 64–69 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Miami (OH) +3.5 147.9 69% 62–59 ✗
Ohio @ Ball State -0.7 144.8 43% 84–79 ✓
Central Michigan @ Akron +15.1 132.7 87% 47–68 ✓
Western Michigan @ Kent State +11.4 145.8 86% 61–63 ✓
Buffalo @ Bowling Green +9.3 146.6 85% 73–87 ✓
Toledo @ Eastern Michigan -12.2 144.1 14% 91–87 ✓
Iowa State @ Texas +0.3 141.3 56% 70–65 ✗
Dayton @ Saint Joseph's -1.9 142.5 44% 94–79 ✓
BYU @ Oklahoma -0.6 147.1 59% 66–82 ✗
UT Martin @ Little Rock +0.5 157.2 46% 57–77 ✓
Butler @ UConn +13.1 146.2 86% 62–71 ✓
Kentucky @ Vanderbilt -9.9 151.9 20% 109–77 ✓
New Mexico @ Wyoming -11.4 153.5 16% 91–73 ✓
Texas Tech @ Baylor +7.8 146.6 81% 73–79 ✓
Nevada @ Utah State +6.4 145.6 75% 77–63 ✗
Boise State @ Colorado State +3.0 139.1 66% 62–75 ✓
Charlotte @ South Florida +1.7 132.7 60% 69–72 ✓
Michigan State @ Minnesota -2.5 136.2 39% 56–59 ✗
Fresno State @ San José State +3.1 139.7 68% 69–57 ✗
San Diego State @ Air Force -12.6 136.9 14% 77–64 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Pacific -17.6 133.3 11% 84–43 ✓
High Point @ UNC Asheville -0.9 153.4 56% 81–86 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Winthrop +10.3 144.9 86% 46–67 ✓
Georgetown @ Seton Hall +12.5 145.7 88% 70–76 ✓
Saint Louis @ La Salle +3.1 147.1 65% 102–84 ✗
Stetson @ Bellarmine -3.2 141.7 38% 84–77 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.