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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–8 on winners spread MAE 9.3 20 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Miami @ Virginia	+3.4	119.8	68%	38–60	✓
Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana	+5.6	137.1	74%	64–76	✓
Northwestern State @ Nicholls	+7.2	147.4	78%	66–73	✓
Houston Christian @ New Orleans	+3.2	153.4	68%	58–84	✓
Howard @ Delaware State	-0.1	142.7	45%	75–71	✓
Coppin State @ South Carolina State	+8.7	130.6	83%	65–77	✓
Morgan State @ North Carolina Central	+9.9	142.3	83%	79–72	✗
Norfolk State @ Maryland Eastern Shore	-7.7	129.4	22%	60–69	✗
East Texas A&M @ McNeese	+16.2	141.0	89%	51–77	✓
Grambling @ Alcorn State	+1.1	133.6	44%	78–67	✗
Florida A&M @ Alabama State	+9.4	135.5	81%	53–62	✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama A&M	-0.9	146.7	60%	68–72	✗
Kansas @ Kansas State	-1.9	141.0	49%	70–75	✗
Idaho @ Sacramento State	+3.3	129.7	62%	61–45	✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Prairie View A&M	+4.0	157.1	67%	74–75	✓
Southern @ Jackson State	+0.0	146.5	53%	72–63	✗
Eastern Washington @ Portland State	-2.9	144.3	38%	90–77	✓
Ole Miss @ South Carolina	+5.2	137.4	71%	65–68	✓
Rutgers @ Maryland	+6.0	127.7	69%	56–53	✗
DePaul @ St. John's	+17.8	142.5	90%	57–85	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.