Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | NICH -250 NWST +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +7 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -11.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -7.2 (-0.2) | 147.4 (-8.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -9.3 (-2.3) | 147.8 (-8.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -9.3 (-2.3) | 149.0 (-10.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -8.9 (-1.9) | 148.6 (-9.6) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | NICH 61 – 47 NWST |
| Feb 3, 2026 | NICH 61 – 58 NWST |
| Jan 6, 2026 | NICH 74 – 72 NWST |
| Feb 11, 2025 | NWST 72 – 60 NICH |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NWST 68 – 66 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-2 | 6-7 |
| Away | 8-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#252) | -12.5 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#224) | -2.17 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#249) | -2.44 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#196) | 0.384 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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