We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Big Sky Conference · The Nest · February 6, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SAC -5.5 Away covered
O/U 132.5 Under
Money SAC -250 / IDHO +188
Model Predictions
Spread Total SAC win
Actual IDHO +16 106 Lost
Massey SAC -3.9 (-19.9)
Massey Totals 134.0 (-28.0)
Bradley-Terry 61%
Weighted B-T 65%
Efficiency Plus ML SAC -3.3 (-19.3) 129.7 (-23.7) 62%
Baseline Tuned ML SAC -1.9 (-17.9) 132.5 (-26.5) 60%
Baseline ML SAC -2.2 (-18.2) 132.6 (-26.6) 61%
Baseline Plus ML SAC -2.1 (-18.1) 133.2 (-27.2) 59%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 IDHO 6845 SAC
Feb 22, 2026 IDHO 8680 SAC
Jan 23, 2026 IDHO 8676 SAC
Feb 8, 2025 IDHO 7876 SAC
Jan 10, 2025 IDHO 8067 SAC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SAC IDHO
Overall 10-24 11-21
Conference 4-14 5-13
Home 6-8 6-10
Away 2-13 4-10
Neutral 2-3 1-1
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 64.2 66.2
Avg Pts Against 71.3 72.8
Massey -8.4 (#306) -8.9 (#310)
Bradley-Terry -1.54 (#311) -1.35 (#297)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.88 (#309) -1.82 (#306)
RPI 0.412 (#323) 0.416 (#319)
Shooting & Four Factors SAC IDHO
FG% 42.0% 43.1%
3PT% 29.9% 33.5%
REB / G 35.3 30.8
OREB / G 11.3 7.8
AST / TO 0.78 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.2% 50.0%
TOV% 23.1% 16.4%
ORB% 34.0% 22.7%
FT Rate 23.8% 19.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.4% 54.5%
Opp TOV% 14.4% 16.7%
DRB% 73.7% 71.6%
Opp FT Rate 24.4% 26.3%

Game Analysis

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