Betting Lines
| Spread | DSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | DSU -115 HOW -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +4 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | DSU -0.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -0.1 (-3.9) | 142.7 (+3.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DSU -0.8 (-4.8) | 141.4 (+4.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DSU -0.5 (-4.5) | 141.4 (+4.6) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DSU -0.3 (-4.3) | 143.7 (+2.3) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | HOW 91 – 59 DSU |
| Jan 13, 2026 | HOW 84 – 58 DSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | DSU 90 – 69 HOW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | HOW 100 – 94 DSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | HOW 70 – 67 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 9-5 |
| Home | 7-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#309) | -5.9 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#305) | -1.57 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#289) | -1.69 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#320) | 0.420 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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