Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference · Smith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center · February 6, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SCST -11.5 Home covered
O/U 133.5 Over
Money SCST -1000 / COPP +550
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCST win
Actual SCST +12 142 Won
Massey SCST -9.6 (+2.4)
Massey Totals 133.5 (+8.5)
Bradley-Terry 91%
Weighted B-T 92%
Efficiency Plus ML SCST -8.7 (+3.3) 130.6 (+11.4) 83%
Baseline Tuned ML SCST -7.9 (+4.1) 132.8 (+9.2) 79%
Baseline ML SCST -7.5 (+4.5) 132.7 (+9.3) 83%
Baseline Plus ML SCST -8.3 (+3.7) 135.1 (+6.9) 83%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 16, 2026 COPP 5957 SCST
Jan 13, 2026 SCST 7472 COPP
Mar 13, 2025 SCST 6863 COPP
Feb 18, 2025 SCST 8757 COPP
Jan 7, 2025 SCST 8577 COPP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCST COPP
Overall 14-18 2-27
Conference 9-5 1-13
Home 9-4 2-8
Away 5-13 0-17
Neutral 0-1 0-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L2 L13
Avg Pts For 69.3 57.9
Avg Pts Against 75.0 72.8
Massey -11.2 (#332) -17.4 (#361)
Bradley-Terry -1.71 (#321) -3.42 (#361)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.13 (#319) -3.85 (#357)
RPI 0.421 (#312) 0.342 (#362)
Shooting & Four Factors SCST COPP
FG% 40.4% 37.0%
3PT% 30.0% 26.0%
REB / G 36.4 30.9
OREB / G 14.6 9.8
AST / TO 0.91 0.51
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.6% 41.2%
TOV% 19.7% 23.3%
ORB% 36.1% 26.6%
FT Rate 23.3% 21.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.3% 50.3%
Opp TOV% 20.4% 21.3%
DRB% 68.3% 61.4%
Opp FT Rate 37.2% 27.5%

Game Analysis

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