Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -350 UIW +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +12 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -7.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -5.6 (+6.4) | 137.1 (+2.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -4.7 (+7.3) | 137.6 (+2.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -5.6 (+6.4) | 139.1 (+0.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -4.9 (+7.1) | 137.3 (+2.7) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | SELA 74 – 62 UIW |
| Dec 30, 2025 | UIW 79 – 70 SELA |
| Mar 10, 2025 | UIW 71 – 67 SELA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SELA 71 – 66 UIW |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SELA 86 – 63 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-8 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 79.3 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#286) | -11.1 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#286) | -1.86 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#295) | -2.54 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#277) | 0.384 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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