Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | FOR +145 VCU -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +15 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -4.4 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -4.5 (-10.5) | 137.6 (-2.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -3.0 (-12.0) | 137.4 (-2.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -4.2 (-10.8) | 135.4 (-0.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -4.4 (-10.6) | 135.7 (-0.7) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | VCU 82 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 4, 2026 | VCU 63 – 59 FOR |
| Jan 9, 2025 | VCU 73 – 61 FOR |
| Mar 13, 2024 | VCU 69 – 62 FOR |
| Feb 18, 2023 | VCU 80 – 61 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 24-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-11 | 13-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#184) | 6.6 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#206) | 1.01 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#216) | 1.40 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#201) | 0.548 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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