Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -2500 FOR +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -20.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -16.9 (-4.9) | 147.6 (-13.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -15.4 (-3.4) | 146.5 (-12.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -16.1 (-4.1) | 147.2 (-13.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -16.6 (-4.6) | 147.3 (-13.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | VCU 82 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 4, 2026 | VCU 63 – 59 FOR |
| Mar 13, 2024 | VCU 69 – 62 FOR |
| Feb 7, 2024 | VCU 75 – 60 FOR |
| Feb 18, 2023 | VCU 80 – 61 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 3-15 |
| Home | 15-1 | 8-8 |
| Away | 7-3 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#51) | -5.2 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#87) | -0.28 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#69) | -0.58 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#81) | 0.482 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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