Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | VCU -400 FOR +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +19 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -8.2 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -5.8 (+13.2) | 137.5 (+3.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -7.4 (+11.6) | 136.3 (+4.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -5.9 (+13.1) | 135.8 (+5.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -5.9 (+13.1) | 136.2 (+4.8) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | VCU 82 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 4, 2026 | VCU 63 – 59 FOR |
| Jan 9, 2025 | VCU 73 – 61 FOR |
| Mar 13, 2024 | VCU 69 – 62 FOR |
| Feb 7, 2024 | VCU 75 – 60 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 18-2 |
| Away | 8-3 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#84) | 1.7 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#69) | 1.23 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#81) | 1.16 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#45) | 0.556 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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