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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
41–18 on winners
spread MAE 8.3
59 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+11.6 | 128.3 | 86% | 52–76 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.8 | 136.2 | 41% | 67–73 | ✗ |
|
|
-8.6 | 140.7 | 22% | 85–82 | ✓ |
|
|
-7.8 | 142.4 | 17% | 72–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.2 | 150.5 | 57% | 73–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+15.5 | 152.6 | 88% | 59–84 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.2 | 130.9 | 69% | 58–64 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.6 | 129.0 | 69% | 64–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.3 | 142.1 | 70% | 56–74 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.8 | 146.9 | 43% | 82–67 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.5 | 152.2 | 48% | 88–93 | ✗ |
|
|
+8.5 | 144.9 | 79% | 87–85 | ✗ |
|
|
+0.8 | 145.2 | 55% | 74–77 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.8 | 138.9 | 86% | 61–66 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.4 | 136.8 | 77% | 61–93 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.2 | 131.8 | 24% | 74–64 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.8 | 154.3 | 29% | 92–91 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.6 | 129.0 | 41% | 59–68 | ✗ |
|
|
-4.2 | 149.1 | 30% | 88–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.9 | 141.7 | 68% | 83–86 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.1 | 156.5 | 43% | 93–94 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.9 | 156.9 | 69% | 67–77 | ✓ |
|
|
-10.1 | 143.4 | 17% | 85–57 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.9 | 131.8 | 42% | 72–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.7 | 140.4 | 87% | 57–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.1 | 138.5 | 80% | 67–72 | ✓ |
|
|
-9.8 | 130.8 | 18% | 81–46 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.1 | 142.8 | 47% | 75–82 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.1 | 156.3 | 43% | 79–86 | ✗ |
|
|
+14.0 | 152.0 | 88% | 66–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.3 | 136.2 | 64% | 58–64 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.6 | 135.6 | 77% | 66–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+19.5 | 142.4 | 90% | 52–84 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.7 | 147.4 | 83% | 74–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.5 | 136.9 | 61% | 75–70 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.5 | 136.6 | 71% | 64–84 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.1 | 136.6 | 65% | 87–71 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.1 | 149.6 | 66% | 84–70 | ✗ |
|
|
-4.0 | 154.2 | 36% | 79–87 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.9 | 128.8 | 53% | 75–69 | ✗ |
|
|
-6.5 | 123.3 | 24% | 69–56 | ✓ |
|
|
-9.4 | 126.5 | 18% | 67–72 | ✗ |
|
|
-3.1 | 148.2 | 36% | 98–88 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.3 | 136.6 | 70% | 70–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.1 | 141.8 | 86% | 64–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.5 | 146.2 | 75% | 73–65 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.0 | 136.2 | 64% | 58–68 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.1 | 143.9 | 62% | 69–77 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.3 | 120.6 | 64% | 53–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.2 | 127.1 | 69% | 56–54 | ✗ |
|
|
+10.7 | 134.8 | 85% | 79–75 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.3 | 135.2 | 55% | 67–75 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.2 | 136.5 | 33% | 67–56 | ✓ |
|
|
-6.4 | 137.3 | 26% | 70–61 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.8 | 144.0 | 29% | 86–75 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.5 | 133.9 | 45% | 63–72 | ✗ |
|
|
-13.8 | 132.2 | 13% | 81–65 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.4 | 130.3 | 86% | 46–61 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.5 | 126.2 | 53% | 54–52 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.