Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | SF -150 SCU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +14 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | SF -3.5 (-17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -2.1 (-16.1) | 152.1 (+1.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -3.1 (-17.1) | 149.6 (+4.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -3.1 (-17.1) | 150.0 (+4.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SF -3.0 (-17.0) | 152.3 (+1.7) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SCU 94 – 73 SF |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SCU 88 – 73 SF |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SCU 77 – 54 SF |
| Dec 31, 2024 | SF 97 – 94 SCU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | SCU 69 – 62 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 11-5 |
| Home | 11-6 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#99) | 5.0 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#113) | 1.19 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#112) | 1.59 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#151) | 0.549 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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