Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK +130 ARMY -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +6 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -0.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -0.3 (+6.3) | 139.7 (+0.3) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -1.8 (+7.8) | 136.2 (+3.8) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -0.5 (+6.5) | 141.9 (-1.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -0.6 (+6.6) | 142.8 (-2.8) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BUCK 65 – 55 ARMY |
| Feb 25, 2026 | BUCK 75 – 73 ARMY |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ARMY 87 – 84 BUCK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BUCK 84 – 53 ARMY |
| Feb 8, 2025 | ARMY 116 – 110 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#294) | -3.1 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#326) | -0.85 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#329) | -0.99 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#325) | 0.458 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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