Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | USC -500 WASH +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +6 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | USC -9.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -9.7 (-3.7) | 144.5 (+9.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -8.7 (-2.7) | 147.4 (+6.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -9.5 (-3.5) | 145.0 (+9.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -9.3 (-3.3) | 144.9 (+9.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | WASH 83 – 79 USC |
| Mar 5, 2026 | WASH 91 – 72 USC |
| Dec 6, 2025 | WASH 84 – 76 USC |
| Mar 6, 2025 | USC 92 – 61 WASH |
| Dec 7, 2024 | USC 85 – 61 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#47) | 3.9 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#36) | 0.90 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#46) | 1.02 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#37) | 0.524 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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