Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -150 NKU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +18 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -8.7 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -6.1 (+11.9) | 143.4 (-13.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -6.3 (+11.7) | 142.1 (-12.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -5.5 (+12.5) | 142.9 (-12.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -6.2 (+11.8) | 143.7 (-13.7) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | YSU 64 – 58 NKU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | NKU 94 – 79 YSU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NKU 88 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | YSU 72 – 61 NKU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | YSU 82 – 52 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 9-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 64.7 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#114) | -1.7 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#139) | -0.09 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#133) | 0.05 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#141) | 0.507 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 24.7% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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