Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | USD +138 LMU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +8 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -4.6 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -4.8 (+12.8) | 157.2 (+8.8) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -4.0 (+12.0) | 154.2 (+11.8) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -5.0 (+13.0) | 156.3 (+9.7) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -5.0 (+13.0) | 157.6 (+8.4) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | USD 66 – 62 LMU |
| Feb 21, 2026 | LMU 77 – 65 USD |
| Feb 8, 2026 | LMU 83 – 63 USD |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LMU 100 – 74 USD |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LMU 78 – 62 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 9-7 |
| Home | 8-9 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.6 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#227) | 5.1 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#262) | 1.13 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#232) | 1.26 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#267) | 0.562 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.6% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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