Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | UTU +145 SUU -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +7 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -1.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -2.4 (+9.4) | 159.2 (+5.8) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -3.1 (+10.1) | 156.3 (+8.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -2.5 (+9.5) | 158.1 (+6.9) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -2.2 (+9.2) | 159.8 (+5.2) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SUU 81 – 67 UTU |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UTU 102 – 91 SUU |
| Dec 30, 2025 | UTU 80 – 66 SUU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | UTU 72 – 65 SUU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SUU 82 – 75 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#182) | 4.4 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#225) | 0.98 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#211) | 1.05 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#246) | 0.562 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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