Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | CSUF -138 UCR +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +6 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | CSUF -4.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -3.0 (+3.0) | 139.1 (-17.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -2.3 (+3.7) | 136.2 (-14.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -2.8 (+3.2) | 137.8 (-15.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -2.8 (+3.2) | 137.9 (-15.9) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | CSUF 78 – 72 UCR |
| Jan 18, 2026 | UCR 81 – 72 CSUF |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UCR 64 – 59 CSUF |
| Dec 8, 2024 | UCR 75 – 68 CSUF |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UCR 84 – 74 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#142) | 0.4 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#196) | 0.57 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#184) | 0.14 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#191) | 0.525 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 77.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.