Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | FAIR +225 IONA -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +9 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -7.8 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -7.6 (-1.4) | 136.5 (-5.5) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -6.4 (-2.6) | 137.3 (-6.3) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -6.9 (-2.1) | 134.7 (-3.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -7.3 (-1.7) | 134.9 (-3.9) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | FAIR 71 – 70 IONA |
| Feb 2, 2025 | IONA 87 – 64 FAIR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | FAIR 68 – 64 IONA |
| Mar 14, 2024 | FAIR 68 – 63 IONA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | IONA 91 – 82 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 17-3 |
| Home | 7-6 | 11-1 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 8-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#236) | 7.5 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#257) | 0.82 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#263) | 1.09 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#222) | 0.558 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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