Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CBU -200 ACU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +16 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | CBU -7.3 (-23.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -5.0 (-21.0) | 138.8 (+19.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -4.1 (-20.1) | 136.6 (+21.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -4.3 (-20.3) | 138.5 (+19.5) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -4.9 (-20.9) | 139.8 (+18.2) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CBU 87 – 48 ACU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | CBU 65 – 63 ACU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | CBU 74 – 58 ACU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CBU 83 – 60 ACU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CBU 60 – 54 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#146) | -2.5 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#175) | -0.35 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#153) | -0.44 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#238) | 0.476 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 33.2% |
Game Analysis
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