Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN +1100 UCSB -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +5 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -9.9 (+14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.7 (+14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -8.5 (+13.5) | 129.0 (+10.0) | 19% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -9.4 (+14.4) | 126.5 (+12.5) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -9.8 (+14.8) | 128.9 (+10.1) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -9.7 (+14.7) | 131.5 (+7.5) | 19% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CSUN 85 – 83 UCSB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CSUN 74 – 65 UCSB |
| Mar 14, 2025 | UCSB 78 – 72 CSUN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | CSUN 103 – 77 UCSB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CSUN 78 – 71 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 15-5 |
| Home | 7-8 | 12-3 |
| Away | 0-14 | 10-4 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 66.0 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#319) | 4.7 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.78 (#358) | 1.37 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.24 (#358) | 1.61 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.361 (#360) | 0.541 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.6% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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