I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
Summit League · Swinney Center · February 5, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread ORU -8.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money KC +350 / ORU -400
Model Predictions
Spread Total KC win
Actual ORU +28 142 Lost
Massey ORU -11.5 (-16.5) — —
Massey Totals — 141.7 (+0.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 12% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 7% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ORU -12.8 (-15.2) 142.5 (-0.5) 15% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ORU -10.1 (-17.9) 143.4 (-1.4) 17% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ORU -12.6 (-15.4) 143.5 (-1.5) 16% ✓
Baseline ML ORU -13.3 (-14.7) 144.6 (-2.6) 14% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 ORU 84 – 62 KC
Mar 1, 2026 ORU 94 – 70 KC
Feb 13, 2026 ORU 69 – 60 KC
Mar 6, 2025 KC 73 – 56 ORU
Feb 2, 2025 ORU 73 – 67 KC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KC ORU
Overall 11-21 30-5
Conference 7-11 18-0
Home 6-8 16-0
Away 3-11 11-4
Neutral 2-2 3-1
Last 5 3-2 5-0
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 63.0 81.5
Avg Pts Against 69.5 70.1
Massey -4.0 (#237) 11.1 (#36)
Bradley-Terry -0.72 (#246) 1.96 (#38)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.95 (#250) 2.32 (#47)
RPI 0.469 (#241) 0.602 (#25)
Shooting & Four Factors KC ORU
FG% 39.4% 47.8%
3PT% 26.9% 38.6%
REB / G 37.0 36.2
OREB / G 13.5 8.3
AST / TO 0.71 1.49
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.2% 56.6%
TOV% 20.0% 13.9%
ORB% 37.0% 23.8%
FT Rate 24.5% 18.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.0% 48.6%
Opp TOV% 19.0% 18.0%
DRB% 69.1% 73.3%
Opp FT Rate 30.1% 17.1%

Game Analysis

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