Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | CREI -500 VILL +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +5 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -12.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -10.9 (-5.9) | 139.1 (-12.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -10.8 (-5.8) | 138.9 (-11.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -11.6 (-6.6) | 138.9 (-11.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -10.6 (-5.6) | 138.7 (-11.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | VILL 80 – 69 CREI |
| Jan 8, 2026 | CREI 76 – 72 VILL |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CREI 62 – 60 VILL |
| Dec 21, 2024 | CREI 86 – 79 VILL |
| Mar 9, 2024 | CREI 69 – 67 VILL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 6-5 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 15.0 (#13) | 6.2 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#49) | 0.66 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.63 (#31) | 1.06 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#42) | 0.519 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.3% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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