Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 121.5 Over |
| Money | CP +300 HAW -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +13 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -5.8 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -5.6 (-7.4) | 126.6 (-1.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -6.5 (-6.5) | 123.3 (+1.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -6.8 (-6.2) | 124.0 (+1.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -6.0 (-7.0) | 125.6 (-0.6) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CP 86 – 75 HAW |
| Jan 16, 2026 | HAW 86 – 66 CP |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CP 79 – 63 HAW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | HAW 68 – 55 CP |
| Feb 16, 2024 | HAW 80 – 51 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-25 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 1-18 | 13-7 |
| Home | 6-11 | 13-5 |
| Away | 1-13 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.4 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 62.0 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#299) | 1.9 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#319) | 0.41 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#309) | 0.75 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#342) | 0.501 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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