The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
Mountain West Conference · Provident Credit Union Event Center · February 5, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WYO -1.5 Home covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money SJSU -111 / WYO -115
Model Predictions
Spread Total SJSU win
Actual SJSU +20 148 Won
Massey SJSU -6.3 (+13.7) — —
Massey Totals — 135.9 (+12.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 93% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SJSU -5.4 (+14.6) 137.7 (+10.3) 73% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SJSU -3.5 (+16.5) 136.6 (+11.4) 71% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SJSU -5.4 (+14.6) 139.5 (+8.5) 74% ✓
Baseline ML SJSU -6.1 (+13.9) 140.5 (+7.5) 74% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 WYO 88 – 78 SJSU
Jan 24, 2026 WYO 66 – 62 SJSU
Mar 12, 2025 SJSU 66 – 61 WYO
Feb 22, 2025 SJSU 82 – 73 WYO
Jan 26, 2025 SJSU 67 – 58 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SJSU WYO
Overall 21-14 9-22
Conference 10-8 4-14
Home 12-3 7-8
Away 5-8 1-8
Neutral 4-3 1-6
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 66.8 68.1
Avg Pts Against 66.2 72.2
Massey 2.9 (#123) 0.1 (#163)
Bradley-Terry 1.00 (#88) -0.63 (#240)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.27 (#86) -0.56 (#219)
RPI 0.553 (#85) 0.478 (#221)
Shooting & Four Factors SJSU WYO
FG% 45.1% 45.0%
3PT% 33.8% 35.5%
REB / G 36.1 32.5
OREB / G 10.3 7.8
AST / TO 1.06 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.9% 53.1%
TOV% 19.0% 17.9%
ORB% 32.6% 24.0%
FT Rate 18.7% 22.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.3% 53.5%
Opp TOV% 12.2% 16.1%
DRB% 76.5% 76.1%
Opp FT Rate 21.5% 19.0%

Game Analysis

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