Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | ODU -225 GASO +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +6 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | ODU -6.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -5.0 (+1.0) | 132.8 (-10.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -5.2 (+0.8) | 130.9 (-8.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -4.8 (+1.2) | 131.4 (-9.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -4.8 (+1.2) | 132.0 (-10.0) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | GASO 88 – 84 ODU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | GASO 87 – 84 ODU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GASO 93 – 86 ODU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | GASO 78 – 75 ODU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | GASO 67 – 63 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#166) | -3.1 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#162) | -0.53 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#163) | -0.72 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#146) | 0.479 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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