He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · February 5, 2023
Betting Lines
O/U 144.5 Over
Money RMU -110 / WRST +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual WRST +15 149 Lost
Massey RMU -0.6 (-15.6) — —
Massey Totals — 145.1 (+3.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 57% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 63% ✗
Baseline Plus ML RMU -0.9 (-15.9) 146.8 (+2.2) 53% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -1.8 (-13.2) 146.9 (+2.1) 43% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -1.5 (-16.5) 145.0 (+4.0) 58% ✗
Baseline ML RMU -1.0 (-16.0) 145.6 (+3.4) 56% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 RMU 81 – 68 WRST
Feb 5, 2026 RMU 72 – 66 WRST
Mar 7, 2025 RMU 83 – 62 WRST
Feb 2, 2025 WRST 66 – 64 RMU
Jan 12, 2025 RMU 75 – 72 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU WRST
Overall 16-17 18-15
Conference 10-10 10-10
Home 11-4 9-6
Away 5-10 7-8
Neutral 0-3 2-1
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.5 78.3
Avg Pts Against 67.7 74.7
Massey -4.3 (#243) -1.3 (#198)
Bradley-Terry -1.07 (#276) -0.70 (#245)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.04 (#257) -0.82 (#241)
RPI 0.441 (#288) 0.460 (#259)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU WRST
FG% 43.3% 48.1%
3PT% 32.5% 33.7%
REB / G 33.9 36.7
OREB / G 9.6 9.1
AST / TO 1.01 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.2% 52.7%
TOV% 20.1% 18.0%
ORB% 28.1% 26.1%
FT Rate 18.2% 17.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.9% 51.2%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 18.3%
DRB% 72.0% 75.8%
Opp FT Rate 22.1% 19.3%

Game Analysis

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