Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | SIE -225 NIA +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +2 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -8.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.6 (-18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -6.4 (-8.4) | 128.8 (-18.8) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -6.2 (-8.2) | 127.1 (-17.1) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -6.7 (-8.7) | 129.5 (-19.5) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -6.9 (-8.9) | 130.8 (-20.8) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | SIE 82 – 79 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2025 | SIE 83 – 54 NIA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SIE 94 – 60 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NIA 69 – 68 SIE |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NIA 67 – 65 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#152) | -4.3 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#153) | -0.39 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#150) | -0.75 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#153) | 0.483 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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