Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | LAM +400 NWST -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +4 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | NWST -10.4 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -11.0 (+7.0) | 142.1 (-2.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -7.8 (+3.8) | 142.4 (-2.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -9.5 (+5.5) | 143.5 (-3.5) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -10.3 (+6.3) | 143.5 (-3.5) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | NWST 70 – 68 LAM |
| Dec 30, 2025 | LAM 76 – 61 NWST |
| Feb 18, 2025 | LAM 75 – 65 NWST |
| Jan 28, 2025 | LAM 69 – 59 NWST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LAM 82 – 77 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 13-5 |
| Home | 6-9 | 10-3 |
| Away | 2-12 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -14.9 (#357) | -0.9 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#351) | 0.45 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.53 (#359) | -0.09 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.379 (#354) | 0.528 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
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