Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU -115 UCI -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +5 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -1.4 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (+24.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -1.7 (+6.7) | 154.6 (+26.4) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -0.5 (+5.5) | 152.2 (+28.8) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -0.8 (+5.8) | 151.9 (+29.1) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -1.0 (+6.0) | 152.6 (+28.4) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UCI 69 – 58 LBSU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UCI 74 – 64 LBSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UCI 70 – 60 LBSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCI 80 – 75 LBSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | LBSU 83 – 79 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#145) | 6.2 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#155) | 0.61 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#136) | 0.94 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#121) | 0.532 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 41.9 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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