Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
Metro Conference · M&T Bank Arena · February 5, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -10.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money QUIN -700 / MSM +450
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual MSM +4 154 Lost
Massey QUIN -13.5 (-17.5) — —
Massey Totals — 132.3 (+21.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✗
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -10.8 (-14.8) 133.8 (+20.2) 86% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -10.7 (-14.7) 134.8 (+19.2) 85% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -11.1 (-15.1) 135.1 (+18.9) 87% ✗
Baseline ML QUIN -11.3 (-15.3) 133.9 (+20.1) 86% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 23, 2026 QUIN 77 – 62 MSM
Jan 4, 2026 QUIN 80 – 69 MSM
Mar 7, 2025 QUIN 79 – 70 MSM
Jan 18, 2025 QUIN 91 – 57 MSM
Feb 10, 2024 MSM 96 – 79 QUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN MSM
Overall 20-12 13-20
Conference 11-9 8-12
Home 9-4 5-9
Away 9-6 7-10
Neutral 2-2 1-1
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.5 63.8
Avg Pts Against 69.8 67.9
Massey 3.1 (#119) -6.9 (#291)
Bradley-Terry 0.67 (#116) -1.77 (#324)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.91 (#110) -2.08 (#323)
RPI 0.533 (#113) 0.426 (#309)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN MSM
FG% 43.5% 41.1%
3PT% 34.8% 36.1%
REB / G 39.3 33.2
OREB / G 12.0 9.8
AST / TO 1.00 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.1% 47.3%
TOV% 18.9% 22.1%
ORB% 33.9% 28.7%
FT Rate 22.0% 18.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.8% 49.6%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 19.7%
DRB% 73.8% 69.3%
Opp FT Rate 18.2% 20.3%

Game Analysis

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