Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | TLSA +210 WICH -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +11 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | WICH -5.3 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (+23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -4.4 (-6.6) | 144.2 (+16.8) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -4.8 (-6.2) | 144.0 (+17.0) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -4.0 (-7.0) | 142.5 (+18.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -4.4 (-6.6) | 144.1 (+16.9) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2026 | TLSA 83 – 79 WICH |
| Mar 14, 2026 | WICH 81 – 68 TLSA |
| Feb 15, 2026 | WICH 81 – 77 TLSA |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TLSA 93 – 83 WICH |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TLSA 73 – 63 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 9-9 |
| Home | 4-10 | 8-9 |
| Away | 0-12 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 68.5 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#274) | 2.9 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#305) | 0.15 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#287) | 0.25 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#312) | 0.505 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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