Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | MICH -167 OSU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -1.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -0.1 (+8.1) | 145.2 (+0.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -0.1 (+8.1) | 143.9 (+2.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -0.6 (+7.4) | 144.1 (+1.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -0.8 (+7.2) | 144.7 (+1.3) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | MICH 71 – 67 OSU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | MICH 82 – 61 OSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MICH 74 – 62 OSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MICH 86 – 83 OSU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | OSU 84 – 61 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-15 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#69) | 12.8 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#70) | 1.01 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#56) | 1.68 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#90) | 0.525 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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