Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–19 on winners spread MAE 11.2 58 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Furman @ Mississippi State +9.8 144.4 82% 66–69 ✓
Villanova @ Creighton -4.7 132.5 39% 59–79 ✗
South Alabama @ Tarleton State -2.2 126.9 43% 52–65 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ UTSA +4.5 147.3 68% 68–50 ✗
San José State @ Portland +2.4 144.1 63% 90–78 ✗
Florida A&M @ Santa Clara +16.1 142.9 88% 66–80 ✓
Wake Forest @ Charlotte -11.6 147.1 17% 82–79 ✓
Cal Poly @ Fresno State +12.6 123.7 88% 48–83 ✓
San Diego State @ Saint Mary's +2.2 122.0 52% 63–53 ✗
North Dakota State @ Pacific +4.6 132.0 65% 73–61 ✗
Purdue @ Butler -15.0 132.9 13% 77–48 ✓
St. John's @ Pittsburgh -4.7 143.0 37% 57–59 ✗
Texas Tech @ Gonzaga +2.7 142.8 64% 55–69 ✓
Hartford @ Central Connecticut -2.9 141.3 40% 65–75 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Indiana State +14.0 139.4 88% 43–67 ✓
Saint Francis @ Illinois +18.9 153.8 90% 48–106 ✓
South Florida @ Florida +12.9 125.1 87% 55–66 ✓
Lamar @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +11.0 142.4 84% 53–57 ✓
Radford @ Davidson +17.3 132.6 89% 54–74 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Delaware State -9.2 137.9 20% 86–53 ✓
Tennessee State @ South Carolina State +1.0 145.6 55% 88–90 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Colorado +11.8 126.6 85% 46–60 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Wright State +4.6 144.1 72% 63–72 ✓
East Tennessee State @ UNC Asheville -2.2 136.3 44% 64–79 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ High Point +3.8 135.4 56% 71–69 ✗
TCU @ Georgetown -0.4 143.6 37% 80–73 ✓
La Salle @ Bucknell +0.4 150.6 48% 70–82 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Virginia +20.7 127.6 90% 49–82 ✓
Bellarmine @ Miami (OH) +10.2 139.5 84% 77–68 ✗
Utah Tech @ North Dakota -3.0 145.3 42% 78–69 ✓
UAlbany @ Niagara +7.7 125.1 77% 58–66 ✓
Austin Peay @ Vanderbilt +13.8 137.2 87% 51–77 ✓
Indiana @ Notre Dame -7.4 135.9 26% 64–56 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Western Illinois +21.2 141.3 90% 54–71 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Bradley +3.2 138.3 70% 73–77 ✓
Louisville @ Western Kentucky -0.3 142.0 56% 72–82 ✗
Southern Miss @ UL Monroe +8.8 142.7 82% 65–74 ✓
Elon @ Duke +24.8 156.8 91% 56–87 ✓
Georgia Tech @ USC +9.2 138.9 78% 53–67 ✓
Marquette @ Xavier +12.2 151.4 86% 71–80 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Nicholls +21.3 153.7 90% 73–104 ✓
Wofford @ Presbyterian -5.5 134.5 29% 76–49 ✓
Morgan State @ Mount St. Mary's +4.4 137.3 65% 60–74 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Washington State +15.3 143.4 88% 56–82 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Marshall +7.8 149.6 69% 75–60 ✗
North Texas @ Wichita State +5.6 125.5 63% 62–52 ✗
Ball State @ Illinois State +3.4 157.5 73% 64–85 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Howard +1.2 146.3 60% 57–79 ✓
Utah @ Missouri -6.5 137.6 41% 75–83 ✗
Providence @ UConn +11.2 137.2 78% 57–53 ✗
West Virginia @ UAB +6.9 138.0 71% 65–59 ✗
Marist @ Boston University +7.3 132.5 72% 84–79 ✗
Buffalo @ Canisius -11.3 149.4 21% 64–65 ✗
North Carolina @ Kentucky +0.2 145.3 48% 69–98 ✓
California Baptist @ Arizona +27.1 153.8 91% 60–84 ✓
South Carolina @ Clemson +7.9 139.9 76% 56–70 ✓
Dayton @ Ole Miss +2.0 129.4 56% 68–76 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Stony Brook +6.2 141.2 74% 63–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.