Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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11–2 on winners spread MAE 8.4 13 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
App State @ Duke +19.4 139.8 89% 67–92 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ UMBC +3.8 140.6 66% 62–51 ✗
Charleston @ Stetson -3.2 144.6 34% 59–67 ✗
Chicago State @ IU Indianapolis -3.4 119.2 24% 61–55 ✓
Tennessee State @ Charleston Southern -1.7 145.4 36% 78–75 ✓
Jackson State @ Drake +14.1 128.2 87% 65–70 ✓
Alcorn State @ Tulsa +10.8 132.7 84% 62–83 ✓
UT Arlington @ Oral Roberts +8.9 144.6 79% 62–71 ✓
McNeese @ UTEP +13.6 137.5 87% 72–82 ✓
Dartmouth @ Stanford +9.7 137.7 83% 78–89 ✓
Liberty @ East Carolina -0.0 129.2 43% 74–64 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Virginia Tech +4.0 128.6 63% 49–86 ✓
Richmond @ NC State -2.2 147.2 41% 83–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.