Betting Lines
| Spread | TNST -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNST +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | TNST -1.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNST -1.3 (-1.7) | 144.0 (+9.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNST -1.7 (-1.3) | 145.4 (+7.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNST -1.5 (-1.5) | 144.2 (+8.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNST -1.8 (-1.2) | 144.6 (+8.4) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2022 | CHSO 91 – 87 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Massey | -14.0 (#344) | -7.8 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#306) | -2.06 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.02 (#320) | -2.42 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#305) | 0.328 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.2% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 23.7% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.4% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 33.6% |
Game Analysis
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