Betting Lines
| Spread | IUIN -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 118.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHST +6 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | CHST -0.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 111.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHST -4.1 (-1.9) | 124.8 (-8.8) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CHST -3.4 (-2.6) | 119.2 (-3.2) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHST -1.4 (-4.6) | 123.8 (-7.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CHST -0.3 (-5.7) | 125.9 (-9.9) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2022 | CHST 68 – 58 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-26 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 1-16 | 3-15 |
| Home | 2-11 | 5-9 |
| Away | 1-13 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 51.3 | 62.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -16.6 (#355) | -11.9 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.61 (#351) | -1.88 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.90 (#348) | -2.54 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.306 (#354) | 0.365 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.4% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 24.8% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.53 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.5% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 29.4% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.4% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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