Betting Lines
| Spread | CHST -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | CHST -275 IUIN +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHST +10 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | CHST -19.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CHST -10.8 (-0.8) | 140.1 (-14.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHST -10.6 (-0.6) | 137.0 (-11.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHST -9.9 (+0.1) | 139.0 (-13.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2021 | CHST 61 – 55 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 2-18 |
| Home | 8-0 | 4-9 |
| Away | 3-20 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#287) | -14.5 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#272) | -0.68 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#273) | -1.00 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#240) | 0.500 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 31.5% | 30.2% |
| 3PT% | 23.6% | 16.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 36.7% | 32.5% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 29.7% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.0% | 59.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.0% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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