Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +9 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -9.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -8.9 (+0.1) | 144.6 (-11.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -6.1 (+2.9) | 141.1 (-8.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -6.2 (+2.8) | 141.3 (-8.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -6.5 (+2.5) | 142.7 (-9.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2025 | UTA 69 – 57 ORU |
| Nov 7, 2023 | UTA 75 – 71 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 8-6 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#211) | -6.0 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#264) | -0.56 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#242) | -0.49 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#220) | 0.469 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 25.3% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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