Virginia Tech
Hokies
86
–
49
FINAL
Neutral
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St. Bonaventure
Bonnies
Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +37 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | VT -7.3 (+29.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -4.0 (+33.0) | 128.6 (+6.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -4.9 (+32.1) | 132.5 (+2.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VT -4.1 (+32.9) | 134.4 (+0.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -4.6 (+32.4) | 132.2 (+2.8) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-5 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#25) | 5.1 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#82) | 1.83 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#75) | 2.31 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#92) | 0.563 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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