Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +5 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -13.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -14.1 (-9.1) | 128.2 (+6.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -11.1 (-6.1) | 131.7 (+3.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -11.5 (-6.5) | 131.7 (+3.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -11.6 (-6.6) | 129.7 (+5.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 8-2 | 5-15 |
| Neutral | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 65.4 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#84) | -3.7 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#163) | -0.05 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#140) | 0.11 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#140) | 0.523 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 12.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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