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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–6 on winners spread MAE 9.3 26 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
UCF @ Temple	-1.7	135.0	40%	65–48	✓
Gardner-Webb @ North Carolina Central	-4.1	141.4	40%	71–72	✗
Marshall @ Ohio	+7.2	149.2	79%	65–75	✓
Georgia Southern @ Campbell	+6.1	125.1	62%	69–66	✗
Winthrop @ Elon	-7.1	147.9	35%	61–63	✗
Florida Atlantic @ VCU	+11.6	134.1	82%	46–66	✓
South Dakota State @ Missouri State	+4.2	152.4	68%	63–75	✓
Florida International @ Jacksonville State	+5.5	141.5	77%	59–66	✓
Fairfield @ Fairleigh Dickinson	-8.1	138.5	19%	72–54	✓
Akron @ Wright State	+0.5	143.5	43%	66–48	✗
Middle Tennessee @ Ole Miss	+4.3	134.8	70%	52–62	✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Southern Illinois	+10.4	133.4	85%	55–80	✓
Nicholls @ Wisconsin	+15.2	138.9	88%	68–71	✓
Lamar @ Texas State	+15.2	137.3	87%	47–67	✓
Bellarmine @ South Dakota	+2.6	137.1	74%	64–78	✓
Morehead State @ Xavier	+13.2	138.5	87%	63–86	✓
Northern Colorado @ Arizona	+27.3	156.6	90%	76–101	✓
UC Irvine @ USC	+10.6	131.1	82%	61–66	✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Abilene Christian	+12.1	137.1	86%	59–69	✓
Utah State @ Weber State	-1.1	142.0	49%	95–80	✓
Portland @ Oregon	+15.3	139.6	88%	71–96	✓
Lipscomb @ Florida State	+17.2	146.0	89%	60–97	✓
UC San Diego @ Denver	-2.6	132.9	48%	56–64	✗
New Mexico State @ Washington State	+11.2	139.5	82%	64–61	✗
Omaha @ UNLV	+15.6	144.9	89%	71–84	✓
Incarnate Word @ Rice	+13.8	148.1	89%	55–85	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.