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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
29–8 on winners
spread MAE 8.1
37 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
South Carolina Upstate
@
Tennessee
|
+28.7 | 141.3 | 91% | 52–96 | ✓ |
Northwestern State
@
LSU
|
+28.5 | 143.8 | 91% | 49–89 | ✓ |
Alabama A&M
@
Troy
|
+7.0 | 136.8 | 79% | 57–66 | ✓ |
North Carolina A&T
@
East Tennessee State
|
+13.0 | 141.3 | 83% | 69–67 | ✗ |
Saint Francis
@
Hartford
|
+2.8 | 149.2 | 55% | 81–66 | ✗ |
UNC Greensboro
@
Towson
|
+7.5 | 129.4 | 84% | 64–74 | ✓ |
Austin Peay
@
South Florida
|
+4.0 | 129.6 | 63% | 51–60 | ✓ |
Florida A&M
@
Cincinnati
|
+18.6 | 132.1 | 89% | 50–77 | ✓ |
VMI
@
Wake Forest
|
+12.0 | 154.8 | 87% | 70–77 | ✓ |
Furman
@
North Carolina
|
+9.8 | 150.9 | 83% | 61–74 | ✓ |
Miami (OH)
@
Clemson
|
+8.2 | 143.3 | 79% | 76–89 | ✓ |
Monmouth
@
Yale
|
-1.1 | 143.2 | 49% | 69–60 | ✓ |
UL Monroe
@
Stephen F. Austin
|
+12.9 | 150.8 | 85% | 82–69 | ✗ |
Grambling
@
UAB
|
+25.1 | 142.1 | 91% | 61–79 | ✓ |
South Carolina State
@
Duke
|
+26.7 | 161.1 | 91% | 62–103 | ✓ |
Louisiana
@
Houston
|
+23.2 | 142.1 | 91% | 56–71 | ✓ |
Arkansas State
@
Texas Tech
|
+25.1 | 143.3 | 91% | 62–75 | ✓ |
Tarleton State
@
South Alabama
|
+10.9 | 129.2 | 79% | 62–69 | ✓ |
UNC Asheville
@
UT Martin
|
-1.1 | 143.1 | 44% | 68–79 | ✗ |
Jackson State
@
Northern Iowa
|
+5.8 | 133.6 | 79% | 56–66 | ✓ |
DePaul
@
UIC
|
-9.0 | 145.8 | 20% | 72–66 | ✓ |
Arizona State
@
Creighton
|
+9.1 | 138.4 | 82% | 58–57 | ✗ |
Alcorn State
@
Wichita State
|
+16.2 | 129.8 | 89% | 63–82 | ✓ |
Georgia State
@
Mississippi State
|
+12.5 | 142.4 | 87% | 50–79 | ✓ |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
@
Minnesota
|
+15.1 | 142.8 | 87% | 71–79 | ✓ |
Sam Houston
@
North Texas
|
+11.6 | 123.9 | 85% | 55–65 | ✓ |
Coppin State
@
Drexel
|
+11.3 | 149.0 | 85% | 69–76 | ✓ |
Jacksonville
@
Southern Miss
|
-5.6 | 124.2 | 25% | 62–51 | ✓ |
Texas Southern
@
UT Rio Grande Valley
|
-0.3 | 144.4 | 38% | 70–60 | ✓ |
Alabama
@
Memphis
|
-2.6 | 160.2 | 49% | 78–92 | ✗ |
North Alabama
@
Auburn
|
+24.7 | 143.3 | 91% | 44–70 | ✓ |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
@
Texas
|
+27.9 | 134.7 | 91% | 31–63 | ✓ |
Santa Clara
@
Boise State
|
+6.9 | 138.9 | 78% | 60–72 | ✓ |
UC Davis
@
Oregon State
|
+4.0 | 138.8 | 63% | 71–64 | ✗ |
UC Santa Barbara
@
Pacific
|
-0.3 | 134.4 | 50% | 71–80 | ✗ |
Chattanooga
@
Belmont
|
+3.6 | 141.0 | 67% | 68–76 | ✓ |
Howard
@
Georgetown
|
+9.8 | 151.4 | 83% | 73–85 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.