What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
Littlejohn Coliseum · December 15, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread CLEM -8.5 Home covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLEM win
Actual CLEM +13 165 Won
Massey CLEM -7.4 (+5.6) — —
Massey Totals — 146.0 (+19.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 85% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 82% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CLEM -8.2 (+4.8) 143.3 (+21.7) 79% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CLEM -7.4 (+5.6) 148.1 (+16.9) 75% ✓
Baseline ML CLEM -7.3 (+5.7) 148.6 (+16.4) 78% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CLEM -6.8 (+6.2) 146.8 (+18.2) 78% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CLEM M-OH
Overall 17-16 14-18
Conference 8-12 8-12
Home 11-5 9-8
Away 3-8 5-9
Neutral 3-3 0-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.7 73.8
Avg Pts Against 68.5 76.0
Massey 7.1 (#67) 4.4 (#103)
Bradley-Terry 0.94 (#102) 0.05 (#184)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.36 (#100) 0.82 (#128)
RPI 0.557 (#91) 0.449 (#257)
Shooting & Four Factors CLEM M-OH
FG% 48.6% 43.5%
3PT% 41.9% 32.7%
REB / G 35.7 35.3
OREB / G 8.8 9.5
AST / TO 1.21 1.50
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.5% 50.1%
TOV% 18.2% 12.6%
ORB% 28.5% 26.5%
FT Rate 22.7% 20.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.0% 50.0%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 18.7%
DRB% 74.5% 70.1%
Opp FT Rate 20.4% 16.5%

Game Analysis

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